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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Volume (24h): $68.1K Ends: 2026-12-31
Market Description

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

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Met Office forecasts 2026 as record-breaking hot year

Coventry Telegraph ·

The Met Office predicts 2026 will rank among the hottest years globally, while UK temperatures are set to rise from late March with balmy weather in April and May

UN Predicts 2025 Will Rank Among Three Hottest Years on Record

Deccan Chronicle ·

While this year will not surpass 2024 as the hottest recorded, it will rank second or third, capping more than a decade of unprecedented heat, the UN's weather and climate agency said, capping more .

2025 to be among top three warmest years on record, UN warns

TheJournal.ie ·

While this year will not surpass 2024 as the hottest ever recorded, it will rank second or third.

Last month was hottest June ever recorded on Earth: NASA, NOAA

Deccan Herald ·

Last month was the hottest June on record going back 174 years, according to independent analysis by scientists including those from NASA and NOAA. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) also found that it is virtually certain (above 99 per cent) that 2023 will rank among the 10-warmest years on record and a 97 per cent chance it will rank among the top

Last nine years all among 10 hottest-ever: US agency

NEWS.com.au ·

The nine years spanning 2013-2021 all rank among the 10 hottest on record, according to an annual report by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) published Thursday, the latest data underscoring the global climate crisis.

Last nine years among 10 hottest ever

RTE.ie ·

The nine years spanning 2013-2021 all rank among the 10 hottest on record, according to an annual report by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

It's Official: Last 9 Years Are Now Among 10 Hottest Ever Recorded

ScienceAlert ·

The nine years spanning 2013-2021 all rank among the 10 hottest on record, according to an annual report a US agency released Thursday, the latest data underscoring the global climate crisis.