Top Prediction Market News

Your hub for real-time prediction market intelligence

Fed decision in March?

No change: 99% 25 bps decrease: 0% 50+ bps decrease: 0% 25+ bps increase: 0%
Vol: $23.9M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49% J.D. Vance: 39% Marco Rubio: 28% Ron DeSantis: 3% +2 more
Vol: $18.4M

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

December 31: 100% June 30: 100% March 31: 100% March 31: 0% +2 more
Vol: $11.5M

Iran strikes Israel on...?

March 4: 100% March 1: 100% March 2: 100% March 3: 100% +2 more
Vol: $9.2M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom: 25% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 9% Kamala Harris: 5% Jon Ossoff: 5% +2 more
Vol: $7.3M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance: 21% Gavin Newsom: 18% Marco Rubio: 16% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 5% +2 more
Vol: $6.6M

UEFA Champions League Winner

Arsenal: 26% Bayern Munich: 22% Barcelona: 13% PSG: 12% +2 more
Vol: $5.1M

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain: 15% England: 13% Argentina: 11% France: 11% +2 more
Vol: $4.4M

Elon Musk # tweets March 6 - March 13, 2026?

340-359: 29% 320-339: 28% 360-379: 20% 380-399: 9% +2 more
Vol: $3.5M

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal: 82% Man City: 18% Man United: 0% Aston Villa: 0% +2 more
Vol: $3.1M

Bitcoin above ___ on March 12?

62,000: 100% 64,000: 100% 66,000: 99% 68,000: 94% +2 more
Vol: $3.1M

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

↑ $90: 100% ↑ $80: 100% ↑ $75: 100% ↑ $70: 100% +2 more
Vol: $2.9M

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder: 34% San Antonio Spurs: 15% Boston Celtics: 12% Denver Nuggets: 10% +2 more
Vol: $2.8M

What price will Bitcoin hit in March?

↑ 70,000: 100% ↓ 65,000: 60% ↑ 75,000: 52% ↓ 60,000: 28% +2 more
Vol: $2.3M

NBA MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 88% Victor Wembanyama: 4% Nikola Jokic: 2% Cade Cunningham: 2% +2 more
Vol: $2.1M

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH): 100% Centro Democrático (CD): 0% Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC): 0% Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative): 0% +2 more
Vol: $1.9M

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

June 30: 64% May 31: 56% April 30: 48% March 31: 26% +2 more
Vol: $1.8M

The Masters - Winner

Scottie Scheffler: 20% Rory McIlroy: 8% Bryson Dechambeau: 6% Xander Schauffele: 5% +2 more
Vol: $1.8M

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA: 64% Fidesz: 35% Momentum: 0% DK: 0% +2 more
Vol: $1.5M

Elon Musk # tweets March 13 - March 20, 2026?

320-339: 10% 260-279: 8% 300-319: 8% 340-359: 8% +2 more
Vol: $1.3M

US forces enter Iran by..?

December 31: 56% March 31: 26% March 14: 6% January 31?: 0% +2 more
Vol: $1.2M

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland: 37% France: 14% Denmark: 10% Greece: 7% +2 more
Vol: $1.2M

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Lê Minh Hưng: 90% Trần Lưu Quang: 6% Phạm Thị Thanh Trà: 0% Phạm Minh Chính: 0% +2 more
Vol: $1.2M

Elon Musk # tweets March 10 - March 17, 2026?

320-339: 11% 240-259: 10% 260-279: 10% 280-299: 10% +2 more
Vol: $1.1M

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

One Battle After Another: 78% Sinners: 19% Hamnet: 2% Marty Supreme: 1% +2 more
Vol: $1.1M

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell: 46% Max Verstappen: 18% Charles Leclerc: 10% Kimi Antonelli: 9% +2 more
Vol: $952.8K

NBA Western Conference Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder: 48% San Antonio Spurs: 24% Denver Nuggets: 11% Minnesota Timberwolves: 5% +2 more
Vol: $877.4K

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

Colorado Avalanche: 23% Tampa Bay Lightning: 15% Carolina Hurricanes: 10% Edmonton Oilers: 10% +2 more
Vol: $866.8K

Bitcoin price on March 12?

68,000-70,000: 54% 70,000-72,000: 38% 66,000-68,000: 5% 72,000-74,000: 4% +2 more
Vol: $835.7K

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Anthropic: 87% Google: 6% OpenAI: 2% DeepSeek: 2% +2 more
Vol: $741.4K

Bucks vs. Heat

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5: 72% O/U 228.5: 56% O/U 229.5: 56% Spread -5.5: 55% +2 more
Vol: $708.4K

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: 4%
Vol: $665.8K

Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?: 100% Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?: 99% Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?: 99% Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5): 52% +2 more
Vol: $650.6K

Elon Musk musk # tweets in March 2026?

1400+: 56% 1360-1399: 9% 1320-1359: 7% 960-999: 7% +2 more
Vol: $649.3K

Ethereum above ___ on March 12?

1,600: 100% 1,700: 100% 1,800: 100% 1,900: 99% +2 more
Vol: $640.1K

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs

O/U 4.5: 82% O/U 5.5: 65% O/U 6.5: 52% Ducks vs. Maple Leafs: 50% +2 more
Vol: $637.6K

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?: 5%
Vol: $632.2K

What price will Ethereum hit in March?

↓ 2,000: 100% ↑ 2,200: 59% ↓ 1,800: 38% ↑ 2,400: 28% +2 more
Vol: $601.0K

Nets vs. Hawks

Spread -13.5: 55% Spread -14.5: 52% O/U 226.5: 50% 1H Spread -8.5: 50% +2 more
Vol: $598.9K

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5: 86% Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 66% O/U 235.5: 54% Spread -4.5: 52% +2 more
Vol: $539.8K

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

80-90M: 49% 70-80M: 40% 90M+: 11% 60-70M: 0% +2 more
Vol: $536.9K

Largest Company end of March?

NVIDIA: 98% Apple: 1% Alphabet: 1% Saudi Aramco: 0% +2 more
Vol: $536.6K

WBC Winner 2026

USA: 40% Dominican Republic: 26% Japan: 20% Venezuela: 6% +2 more
Vol: $534.6K

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh: 94% Judy Shelton: 2% Michelle Bowman: 2% Rick Reider: 1% +2 more
Vol: $533.2K

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella: 28% Édouard Philippe: 14% Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 10% Marine Le Pen: 8% +2 more
Vol: $518.2K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?: 22%
Vol: $509.1K

Iran leadership change by...?

December 31: 62% April 30: 32% March 31: 20% March 13: 2%
Vol: $500.8K

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ Week of March 9?

↓ $85: 100% ↑ $95: 62% ↑ $100: 26% ↑ $105: 16% +2 more
Vol: $482.0K

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

June 30: 85% April 30: 77% March 31: 40% March 15: 6% +2 more
Vol: $479.2K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

June 30: 79% May 15: 68% March 31: 26% March 15: 3% +1 more
Vol: $474.5K

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

Baltimore Ravens: 16% Kansas City Chiefs: 13% Buffalo Bills: 12% Denver Broncos: 12% +2 more
Vol: $467.6K

# of views of MrBeast video day 5?

67M+: 100% 65–66M: 0% 63–64M: 0% 64–65M: 0% +2 more
Vol: $462.3K

NBA Eastern Conference Champion

Boston Celtics: 35% Cleveland Cavaliers: 18% New York Knicks: 16% Detroit Pistons: 14% +2 more
Vol: $454.7K

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei: 36% Reza Pahlavi: 16% Ali Larijani: 7% No Head of State: 6% +2 more
Vol: $439.3K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?: 2%
Vol: $436.7K

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar: 62% Viktor Orbán: 36% László Toroczkai: 1% István Kapitány: 1% +2 more
Vol: $403.5K

Bitcoin above ___ on March 13?

58,000: 100% 60,000: 100% 62,000: 100% 64,000: 98% +2 more
Vol: $394.7K

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?: 12%
Vol: $392.1K

What price will Bitcoin hit March 9-15?

↓ 68,000: 100% ↑ 72,000: 50% ↓ 66,000: 26% ↑ 74,000: 18% +2 more
Vol: $380.8K

Suns vs. Pacers

Suns vs. Pacers: 78% 1H Spread -4.5: 52% Spread -8.5: 52% 1H Moneyline: 51% +2 more
Vol: $377.2K

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 85,000: 100% ↓ 65,000: 100% ↑ 90,000: 100% ↓ 75,000: 100% +2 more
Vol: $373.6K

Nuggets vs. Spurs

1H Spread -2.5: 71% O/U 234.5: 56% Spread -4.5: 56% O/U 235.5: 56% +2 more
Vol: $367.1K

Andrew Tate # posts March 6 - March 13, 2026?

100-129: 74% <100: 26% 130-159: 2% 160-189: 0% +2 more
Vol: $365.6K

2026 Women's French Open Winner

Iga Świątek: 28% Aryna Sabalenka: 24% Coco Gauff: 10% Elena Rybakina: 9% +2 more
Vol: $352.6K

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Michael B. Jordan: 47% Timothée Chalamet: 40% Leonardo DiCaprio: 7% Wagner Moura: 5% +2 more
Vol: $346.3K

Colombia Presidential Election

Candidate M: 50% Iván Cepeda Castro: 44% Paloma Valencia: 33% Abelardo de la Espriella: 14% +2 more
Vol: $338.0K

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 44% Flávio Bolsonaro: 39% Renan Santos: 4% Fernando Haddad: 4% +2 more
Vol: $337.7K

Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Winner

Vitality: 42% Team Spirit: 14% Team Falcons: 12% Furia: 10% +2 more
Vol: $332.3K

Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?

Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?: 0%
Vol: $329.5K

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga: 42% Alfonso López Chau: 16% Keiko Fujimori: 16% Jorge Nieto: 12% +2 more
Vol: $317.7K

Celtics vs. Thunder

Spread -5.5: 56% O/U 215.5: 53% Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5: 52% Spread -6.5: 52% +2 more
Vol: $309.9K

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Tisza 9%+: 38% Tisza 6-9%: 15% Tisza 3-6%: 13% Fidesz-KDNP 6-9%: 11% +2 more
Vol: $308.4K

NFL Champion 2027

Seattle Seahawks: 12% Los Angeles Rams: 8% Buffalo Bills: 6% Kansas City Chiefs: 6% +2 more
Vol: $307.8K

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF: 18% Los Angeles FC: 16% San Diego FC: 13% Seattle Sounders FC: 7% +2 more
Vol: $293.9K

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh: 80% Oh Se-hoon: 14% Park Ju-min: 4% Ahn Cheol-soo: 1% +2 more
Vol: $283.3K

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais

RC Celta de Vigo: 48% Draw (RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais): 28% Olympique Lyonnais: 26%
Vol: $282.0K

Highest temperature in Seoul on March 12?

11°C: 100% 12°C: 1% 13°C or higher: 0% 5°C or below: 0% +2 more
Vol: $281.8K

Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs

Odd/Even Total Kills: 50% Odd/Even Total Kills: 50% Odd/Even Total Kills: 50% Odd/Even Total Rounds: 50% +2 more
Vol: $279.2K

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Los Angeles Rams: 16% Seattle Seahawks: 16% Green Bay Packers: 10% Philadelphia Eagles: 9% +2 more
Vol: $278.8K

76ers vs. Pistons

Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5: 55% Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5: 54% Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5: 54% 1H O/U 113.5: 53% +2 more
Vol: $276.5K

Elon Musk # tweets March 17 - March 24, 2026?

320-339: 10% 300-319: 10% 340-359: 10% 280-299: 10% +2 more
Vol: $275.1K

Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF

Manchester City FC: 64% Real Madrid CF: 20% Draw (Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF): 16%
Vol: $271.1K

French Ligue 1 Winner

PSG: 87% Lens: 13% Lyon: 1% Marseille: 0% +2 more
Vol: $262.3K

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: 14%
Vol: $259.1K

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday: 72% Michael: 16% Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 6% The Odyssey: 2% +2 more
Vol: $253.2K

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

Duke: 21% Michigan: 18% Florida: 14% Arizona: 10% +2 more
Vol: $251.6K

Next President of Vietnam

Tô Lâm: 88% Trần Thanh Mẫn: 7% Phan Văn Giang: 3% Trần Cẩm Tú: 1% +2 more
Vol: $249.5K

Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M: 97% $200M: 90% $300M: 61% $500M: 30% +2 more
Vol: $242.6K

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals

Bayern München: 100% Atlético Madrid: 96% Paris Saint-Germain (PSG): 92% Bodø/Glimt: 86% +2 more
Vol: $242.2K

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

3.5%: 32% 3.25%: 26% 3.75%: 14% 3.0%: 8% +2 more
Vol: $239.5K

Baden-Württemberg Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

CDU: 100% The Greens: 0% AfD: 0% The Left: 0% +2 more
Vol: $235.1K

Highest temperature in Seattle on March 11?

50-51°F: 100% 52-53°F: 0% 54°F or higher: 0% 39°F or below: 0% +2 more
Vol: $234.3K

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

Saudi Arabia: 18% UAE: 17% Qatar: 10% Any E.U. Country: 8% +2 more
Vol: $227.4K

SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC

Coritiba FBC: 100% SC Corinthians Paulista: 0% Draw (SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC): 0%
Vol: $224.3K

Houthi strike on Israel by...?

March 31: 47% March 15: 14% March 6: 0%
Vol: $222.5K

Fed decision in April?

No change: 90% 25 bps decrease: 6% 25+ bps increase: 2% 50+ bps decrease: 2%
Vol: $222.1K

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka: 31% Elena Rybakina: 9% Iga Swiatek: 8% Jessica Pegula: 6% +2 more
Vol: $219.9K

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic: 28% Google: 26% OpenAI: 22% xAI: 11% +2 more
Vol: $211.7K

La Liga Winner

Barcelona: 80% Real Madrid: 20% Villarreal: 0% Atletico Madrid: 0% +2 more
Vol: $211.1K

NHL: Eastern Conference Champion

Tampa Bay Lightning: 30% Carolina Hurricanes: 22% Buffalo Sabres: 14% Montreal Canadiens: 6% +2 more
Vol: $206.1K