Which countries will Iran strike in March?
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage. Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted as Israel. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Related News
Fears of a global energy crisis are rising as the war in the Middle East rages on. More U.S.-Israeli strikes hit the Iranian capital Monday and Israel again bombarded Lebanon. An Iranian drone strike temporarily shut Dubai’s airport. That's a crucial global travel hub and the attack underscored the threats to the world economy. Since the United States and Israel attacked Iran more than two weeks ago, Tehran has regularly fired on Israel, American bases in the region, and Gulf Arab countries’ energy infrastructure. It has also effectively stopped shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. That has dramatically increased the price of oil and put pressure on Washington to do something to ease the pain consumers are feeling.
Iran has sought to justify its attacks on Gulf countries, hitting civilian infrastructure as well as US assets.
LBC's live updates as the conflict in the Middle East continues
Araghchi claimed the US has developed a drone mimicking Iran's Shahed 136, dubbed LUCAS to strike targets in Arab countries. He accused Israel of hitting Arab civilians to derail ties with Iran, stressing, Iran has not targeted any civilian or residential areas in the region so far.
U.S. allies and rivals responded cautiously after President Donald Trump said they should police the Strait of Hormuz, as Iranian threats to strike shipping on the vital trade route continue to cause chaos in global markets.“Many countries, especially those who are affected by Iran’s attempted closure of the Hormuz Strait, will be sending War Ships” to secure the shipping route, he posted Saturday on Truth Social, listing China, France, Japan, South Korea, the U.K. and “others” among the nations he hoped would provide support.“The U.S. will also coordinate with those Countries so that everything goes quickly, smoothly, and well.
The US Embassy in Baghdad was also attacked as the war with Iran entered its third week on Saturday. The war in Iran has clearly spread into Iraq.
Trump also urged countries that rely on oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz to send naval forces to secure the shipping route.
Iran Israel War Live Updates: Follow real-time developments as the US-Israel war with Iran intensifies across the Middle East, triggering missile attacks, drone interceptions, naval clashes and mounting geopolitical tensions. Track the latest military operations, diplomatic reactions, evacuation advisories and economic fallout across Iran, Israel and key Gulf states including Dubai, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait and Oman.Iran’s Security Chief Warns US: Iran said it will not relent in the war until the United States is “sorry for its grave miscalculation.”PM Modi Speaks With Iran’s President: Prime Minister Narendra Modi held a call with Masoud Pezeshkian, expressing concern over civilian casualties and stressing safety of Indians and uninterrupted energy transit.US Hits Iranian vessel: After an Iranian boat approached the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72), a US helicopter fired two Hellfire missiles, striking the vessel after an earlier naval gun attempt missed.Explosions In Tehran After Israeli Air Attacks: Powerful overnight explosions were reported in a residential district of central Tehran following a large wave of Israeli strikes. Iran’s Red Crescent Society said a residential building was hit and rescue teams were searching through rubble for survivors.US Air Force KC-135 Tanker Crash: US Air Force KC-135 refueling aircraft crashed in Western Iraq during Operation Epic Fury. Iran Launches Retaliatory Strikes: Iran’s military said it targeted key Israeli installations including a military intelligence headquarters, a naval base in Haifa and a radar system. Tehran also claimed attacks on US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.Strait Of Hormuz Attacks Raise Shipping Risks: Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it struck two vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, including a Liberia-flagged ship it claimed was Israeli-owned and a Thai bulk carrier that allegedly ignored warnings to stop.WHO Warns Of Toxic ‘Black Rain’: The World Health Organization warned that polluted rainfall known as “black rain” could pose health risks after strikes on Iranian fuel depots sent thick smoke into the atmosphere, mixing with rain clouds and producing contaminated precipitation.Missile And Drone Interceptions Across Gulf: Saudi Arabia reported intercepting multiple Iranian drones and ballistic missiles targeting the kingdom’s eastern region and Prince Sultan Airbase. Qatar also said its air defences intercepted a missile attack as authorities raised the national threat level and advised residents to remain indoors.UAE And Oman Report New Strikes: The United Arab Emirates said its air defence systems intercepted 26 Iranian drones, although nine fell inside its territory. In Oman, drones struck fuel storage tanks at Salalah port, though no casualties were reported.Shipping Attacks And Corporate Evacuations: The UK Maritime Trade Operations said two vessels were struck by projectiles near Dubai and in the Strait of Hormuz. Major firms including Citi and PwC have evacuated or closed offices across Gulf financial hubs amid rising security risks.US Casualties Rise As War Intensifies: The Pentagon said around 140 US service members have been wounded and seven killed since the launch of Operation Epic Fury, with another soldier dying from a health-related incident in Kuwait.Trump Says War Could End Soon: US President Donald Trump said there is “nothing left” for American forces to target in Iran and suggested the conflict could end whenever Washington decides.Probe Into Deadly School Strike: The White House confirmed the US has struck more than 5,000 targets in Iran while investigating a missile strike on an Iranian girls’ school that reportedly killed around 175 students.Israeli Defence And Cyber Alerts: Israeli media reported that all Iranian missiles fired towards Israel were intercepted, triggering air raid sirens across Tel Aviv and central Israel. Israeli authorities also warned of Iranian cyber breaches targeting security cameras for espionage.=Lebanon Conflict Deepens: Israeli air strikes hit a residential building in central Beirut, causing heavy damage and fires. Lebanese officials say at least 634 people have been killed since last Monday while more than 800,000 residents have been displaced.Iran Demands UN Action Over Diplomat Deaths: Tehran has called for action at the United Nations Security Council after an Israeli strike in Beirut killed four Iranian diplomats, describing the attack as a terrorist act.UN Condemns Iran Strikes: 35 countries including India, have condemned Iran’s attacks on several Gulf states and Jordan.Indians Killed in Iran Attack in Strait of Hormuz: 3 Indian Nationals Killed, 1 Missing in Attacks on Merchant Ships near Strait of Hormuz, Says MEA., Middle East News, Times Now
Iran’s secretive new supreme leader on Thursday vowed to keep up attacks on Gulf Arab countries and use the effective closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz as leverage against the United States and Israel. It was his first public statement since being chosen to succeed his father, who was killed in an Israeli strike.
Iran’s secretive new supreme leader on Thursday vowed to keep up attacks on Gulf Arab countries and use the effective closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz as leverage against the United States and Israel. It was his first public statement since being chosen to succeed his father, who was killed in an Israeli strike.