Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Market Description
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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U.S. President Donald Trump will chair the inaugural meeting of the 'Board of Peace,' attracting both praise and criticism. Intended to address global conflicts, the initiative raises concerns over its impact on the U.N. Several major countries have declined to join, questioning its structure and objectives.
There is no doubt that a proactive role of India will help bring balance to the deliberations in BoP. If we do not join, India will be leaving the field open for countries like Turkey, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and others to drive the agenda
Many Western countries, such as France and Norway, have said they will not join the Board of Peace yet
But many Indonesians are sceptical of President Prabowo Subiantos plans to join Washingtons proposed Board of Peace and participate in the International Security Force with only vague details so far on how they will operate, seeing it as simply kowtowing to Trumps agenda as the two countries negotiate a trade deal.
Poland and Italy will not join U.S. President Donald Trump’s Board of Peace, Warsaw and Rome said on Wednesday, adding to the list of Washington’s allies remaining on the sidelines.
WARSAW, Feb 11 (Reuters) - Poland and Italy will not join U.S. President Donald Trump's Board of Peace, Warsaw and Rome said on Wednesday, adding to the list of Washington's allies remaining on the sidelines.Initially designed to cement Gaza's ceasefire, Trump sees the Board of Peace taking a wider role in resolving global conflicts which some countries fear means it could become a rival to the United Nations.This along with the fact that Russia and Belarus were invited to join means many Western countries have taken a cautious approach.